
Rents & Incentives
Headline net face rents in the Sydney CBD increased across all grades in Q3 2026, led by A-Grade (+2.9%), followed by Premium (+2.0%) and B-Grade (+1.4%). Outgoings also rose, most notably in Premium, where they increased 4.5% to $279 per sqm. Gross face rents now sit at $1,905 in Premium (+2.4%), $1,619 in A-Grade (+2.8%) and $1,270 in B-Grade (+1.2%), with more than a quarter of the Premium increase coming from higher outgoings rather than rent. Reported incentives were broadly unchanged, averaging 37.0% across all grades: 35.4% in Premium, 36.7% in A-Grade and 38.9% in B-Grade.
Effective rents, however, moved lower. Premium eased 3.9% over the quarter to $1,153 and A-Grade fell 7.2% to $922, while B-Grade was the only grade to record growth, rising 4.9% to $771. While this appears counterintuitive, there have been reports of a growing share of deals being struck on an effective basis. In these deals, the landlord and tenant agree an effective rent directly instead of a headline rent with a stated incentive. As a result, the full value of the concessions may not be captured in reported incentive averages.
Over the longer term, effective rents have made little progress. Since Q1 2020, Premium face rents have increased 29.6% while effective rents are down 0.7%. A-Grade face rents are up 25.0% while effective rents are down 9.9%, and B-Grade face rents are up 19.2% while effective rents are down 9.5%.
For tenants, headline rent growth overstates the real change in occupancy costs, although rising outgoings, particularly in Premium buildings, are adding to gross costs regardless of how rents are negotiated. Effective rent remains the key measure to negotiate on, and incentives continue to provide significant leverage across all grades.
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Vacancy
Sydney CBD vacancy remains elevated but fell to 13.3% as at July 2026 from 13.8% in January, with all three grades tightening over the first half of the year. Premium recorded the largest reduction, falling from 8.9% to 7.7%. A-Grade vacancy declined from 16.6% to 16.0%, and B-Grade edged lower from 16.0% to 15.8%.
The tightening in Premium and A-Grade has been supported by positive demand for higher-quality space, alongside limited new supply and withdrawals of existing stock. Premium availability is tightest at Barangaroo and in the Western Corridor, while larger Premium options are concentrated in a small number of buildings.
Vacancy varies considerably by precinct. Midtown has the highest vacancy at 17.9%, followed by the Western Corridor (13.9%), while the Core (11.0%), Southern (11.6%) and Walsh Bay (10.1%) precincts are tighter. Midtown A-Grade stock carries the highest vacancy in the CBD, offering the deepest pool of options for occupiers seeking quality space at a lower price point. Availability is also concentrated in a relatively small number of buildings, with around 40 buildings accounting for more than half of all vacant space, including large availabilities at Grosvenor Place, 270 Pitt Street and 52 Goulburn Street.
For tenants, this creates a two-tier market. Larger occupiers seeking contiguous Premium space face limited choice, while those willing to consider Midtown, the Western Corridor or high-quality A-Grade assets have access to a deeper pool of options and greater negotiating leverage.

New Supply
On the supply side, no new office space has been delivered so far in 2026, with the next major supply wave set to begin late in the year. Three projects are currently under construction, collectively more than 60% pre-committed:
- Atlassian Central (58,000 sqm), due for completion in Q4 2026
- Chifley South (53,275 sqm), due for completion in Q3 2027
- 37–55 Pitt Street (63,000 sqm), due for completion in Q4 2027
With approximately 174,000 sqm of new space due between late 2026 and 2027, vacancy is expected to increase through H2 2027 and into 2028, as both available space within the new developments and backfill from relocating tenants enter the market. Beyond 2027, the development pipeline is limited, with challenging development conditions, including construction costs, restricting the next wave of new supply.

Key Trends
AI is changing the workplace, not simply reducing it
The longer-term impact of AI on office demand remains uncertain, but in the short term it is unlikely to translate directly into significantly smaller footprints. Growth in AI and technology businesses is creating new roles and new sources of office demand, while other organisations are restructuring teams as automation becomes more embedded.
As Consultant Michael Ly notes, AI is changing the structure of tech teams as much as the technology itself. This does not necessarily mean less space, but it can change the type of space businesses need, from desk numbers and meeting rooms to project areas, training and customer-facing space.
For occupiers, the longer-term impact of AI is therefore likely to be as much about how space is used as how much space is required. As roles and team structures evolve, flexibility within both the workplace and lease will become increasingly important when planning future office requirements.
Flight to quality and flight to value
In H2 2025, demand was concentrated in A-Grade, as tenants pursued quality space at a more competitive price point. In H1 2026, the data shows both flight to quality and flight to value, with Premium recording 19,388 sqm of positive net absorption.
Importantly, quality demand is not confined to the Core. The Western Corridor recorded 12,329 sqm of positive net absorption, close to the Core at 13,491 sqm, as Premium buildings in the precinct provide tenants with access to quality space on more competitive commercial terms. This has continued into Q3, with recent commitments by Stripe, Asset Insure and Airwallex all located in the Western Corridor and Midtown.
For occupiers, this means flight to value does not necessarily require a compromise on grade. Premium options outside the Core can offer the balance of building quality and stronger leasing terms that tenants are increasingly seeking, while Midtown A-Grade stock currently offers the deepest pool of available space in the CBD.
Stabilising size requirements as hybrid models bed down
Size requirements are beginning to stabilise as hybrid workplace models mature and businesses become clearer on how they want people to use the office. Organisations are testing a range of approaches, from anchor days to activity-based and team-led models. Importantly, most now have a better handle on typical attendance patterns and space needs than they did two or three years ago. This is consistent with what our team, including Associate Director Courtney Magro, is seeing in recent tenant projects, where requirements are being framed with greater confidence around long-term workplace intent rather than short-term experimentation.
The sharp space give-backs of the immediate post-COVID period have eased, and this is now showing up in the sublease market: availability remains below the 10-year average, indicating fewer tenants are carrying large amounts of excess space. Against this backdrop of more right-sized footprints, elevated construction costs and the highest CBD vacancy in around three decades, fewer landlords are willing to deliver full whole-floor speculative fitouts. Instead, they are focusing on lighter refurbishments or smaller suite-style spec, with layouts and capex more closely aligned to increasingly specific, data-driven tenant briefs.
The legal office shift: Quality, longevity and location
Sydney’s legal sector continues to favour Premium accommodation, with recent moves into 33 Alfred Street by Allens and Lander & Rogers, and Corrs into Quay Quarter Tower, reinforcing the preference for high-quality, well-located assets. This trend is continuing into the next development cycle, with MinterEllison and Baker McKenzie pre-committing to 37–55 Pitt Street, and Gilbert + Tobin to Chifley South both due for completion in 2027.
Our study of 75 mid- and top-tier Sydney law firms found that around 60% had upsized and 39% had downsized, with average tenure in the same building of approximately 7.5 years. The latest pre-commitments appear to be following the same trend, with firms securing larger footprints as part of their next move.
For legal occupiers, these commitments reinforce the importance of getting building quality, location and flexibility right from the outset, particularly when leasing decisions can shape workplace requirements for much of the next decade.
Environmental, social, and governance (ESG)
Sustainability remains a core filter for office occupiers, particularly larger corporates with formal decarbonisation targets. For many local and offshore tenants, strong ESG credentials are increasingly treated as a baseline requirement rather than a “nice to have”.
Tenants continue to favour buildings with strong Green Star, NABERS and/or WELL ratings. At the same time, recent analysis indicates only around 28% of Australian office buildings are on track to meet major tenants’ climate needs.
This is narrowing the pool of suitable accommodation and increasing the divide between newer or comprehensively refurbished assets and older stock.
The future Atlassian HQ at Tech Central (due for completion in November 2026) illustrates where demand is heading: a low-carbon, hybrid-timber, fully electric building targeting leading sustainability ratings. For tech and innovation-led occupiers, assets of this type align leasing decisions with climate commitments and employee expectations, while reducing exposure to future regulatory and carbon-cost risk.
Tech Central is moving from development pipeline to occupier cluster
Tech Central continues to strengthen as Sydney’s major technology and innovation precinct, supporting a $42 billion economy, almost 100,000 jobs and around 4,300 businesses. The precinct already includes major technology occupiers such as Atlassian, Canva, Block, SafetyCulture and Rokt, alongside universities, research institutions and a growing startup ecosystem.
Since the closure of the Sydney Startup Hub at Wynyard in 2025, the precinct has become the centre of the State’s startup support. The Tech Central Innovation Hub at 477 Pitt Street now provides 8,000 sqm across six floors for startups and scale-ups, operated by Stone & Chalk with Fishburners as anchor partner, and houses the Government’s International and Regional Landing Pads. This sits alongside a $38.5 million NSW Government commitment to further develop the precinct.
Atlassian Central topped out in July 2026 and is scheduled for completion in late 2026, with Atlassian expected to occupy from 2027. Its 21,420 sqm sublease offering will give other occupiers a rare entry point into the precinct’s flagship building. Beyond this, the next wave of office space remains some way off: Central Place Sydney (approximately 133,000 sqm) and TOGA Central are both approved, but neither has commenced construction or announced tenants.
Tech Central is increasingly becoming a genuine alternative to the traditional CBD Core, particularly for businesses seeking proximity to technology talent, universities, startups and other innovation-led organisations.